International SOS Risk Outlook 2026: Businesses in an environment of increasing uncertainty

December 12, 2025

The tenth annual Risk Outlook Report from International SOS provides comprehensive insights into the security and health situation for businesses in 2026. The study shows that risks are emerging more quickly, are more complexly interlinked and require agile, integrated preparation.

According to the report, 57% of executives report that new threats are emerging faster than they can respond, while 74% say that the window of opportunity for critical decisions is shrinking. Only 35% are confident that they can mobilise their teams quickly. In addition, companies are increasingly recognising that risks often converge: 49% see the need for joint security and medical responses. At the same time, there are gaps in information processing: although 80% see a competitive advantage in the rapid identification of risks, only 20% feel confident that they can verify the relevant data in a timely manner.

The Risk Map 2026 reflects the current situation: geopolitical tensions have led to increased security assessments in several countries, including Iran (medium → high), Myanmar (high → extreme) and Niger (medium → high). In contrast, Mongolia has improved its rating from medium to low, supported by stability in the capital and progress in disaster management and road safety. Medical risks, such as in India, have been revised from variable to medium due to the supply situation in large cities.

International SOS emphasises the increasing complexity and dynamism of the risk environment. CEO Arnaud Vaissié points to the growing challenges posed by geopolitical shifts, natural hazards, disinformation and psychological stress. Risks are increasingly occurring in convergence rather than in isolation, undermining even robust preparedness plans. Effective preparedness therefore requires intelligent, dynamic and continuous processes, supported by artificial intelligence that enables real-time analysis and faster decision-making – but without replacing human expertise.

The survey also shows that uncertainty is increasing significantly: 66% of companies see rising uncertainty, primarily triggered by geopolitical instability (47%) and cybercrime. Other digital threats, such as disinformation, are often underestimated. Despite the potential of AI, only 6% of companies use it specifically in risk management, leaving opportunities untapped.

Financial conditions pose a further challenge: almost 80% of safety and health experts expect stable or declining budgets, which could limit responsiveness. At the same time, mental health is becoming increasingly important: stress and anxiety disorders are among the most common problems faced by employees on business trips, yet only 17% of companies see this as a top priority.

Finally, the experts at International SOS emphasise that medical and safety-related planning must be closely integrated in the future in order to protect employees effectively. Extreme weather, psychological stress and infection risks are increasingly occurring simultaneously and require integrated strategies that take both safety and health into account.

Conclusion: 2026 will be characterised by dynamic uncertainty, interconnected risks and the need for agile, technology-based preparedness. Companies that act flexibly and use accurate information will ensure continuity, productivity and the protection of their employees – even in complex global scenarios.

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